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Should you hedge against a weak dollar? A guide to 2026 currency risk
The U.S. dollar has struggled lately. According to the ICE U.S. Dollar Index, the American currency was down 9.4% in 2025, which was the worst year for the dollar since 2017. The trend has continued so far in 2026, with the dollar down another 1.5% through February 11. So why is the dollar dropping? How ... Read more
Who is Kevin Warsh? Trump’s Fed Chair nominee and what he means for your money
President Donald Trump will nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Chair of the Federal Reserve. If confirmed by the Senate, Warsh would take over for Jerome Powell, whose 8-year tenure at the helm of the Fed saw the stock market nearly triple in value. Warsh has long been a critic of the Fed, and may ... Read more
Federal Reserve holds rates steady: Powell’s future and the fight for Fed independence
As expected, the Federal Reserve left its target interest rate unchanged after the January meeting. However I might argue this was one of the most intriguing Fed meetings in a long time. Since the Fed last met in December, Chair Jerome Powell was served with a grand jury subpoena, threatening criminal charges over Powell’s handling ... Read more
Q4 2025 Performance review & 2026 Outlook: Balancing growth with caution
Despite some volatility, stocks managed to finish 2025 in positive territory. The Morningstar Global Markets index rose 3.29% for the quarter, marking the third straight positive quarter. The rally was broader than most of 2025, as tech stocks actually lagged modestly and smaller companies outperformed. Non-U.S. stocks put in another strong quarter, with non-U.S. developed ... Read more
Retirement plan off track? Here’s your recovery strategy.
Being behind on your retirement savings can create feelings of stress, anxiety, and worry. Even thinking about how to get back on track can feel overwhelming and confusing. But with retirement on the horizon, using the time you do have to your advantage can make a huge difference. Here’s what you can do now, and ... Read more
Will mortgage rates keep falling in 2026? A forecast & analysis
Mortgage rates have finally dipped below 7%, but will they keep falling in 2026? This analysis dives into the three key economic scenarios—from a steady economy to a full recession—that will determine the Federal Reserve's path on future rate cuts. We break down what it would take to see 5% mortgage rates, what could send them back to 7%, and what the new 50-year mortgage proposal could mean for homebuyers.
Flying blind: the Fed cuts rates at the October 2025 meeting
The Federal Reserve cut its target for interest rates by 0.25% at the October meeting. For a long time, Fed Chair Jerome Powell has told us the Fed’s decisions would be “data dependent.” However, with the government having been shut down for almost all of October, there is very little new data for the Fed ... Read more
Q3 2025 Performance Review: Navigating a market torn between AI boom and recession risk
Stocks had another strong quarter in 3Q. The Morningstar Global Markets index rose 7.57% for the quarter, ending just below the all-time high set in September. Gains were powered by enthusiasm for Artificial Intelligence, hope for Fed rate cuts, and strong flows from individual investors. However, there are a number of risks that also became ... Read more
Fed cuts rates to battle recession risk, looking past inflation spike.
The Federal Reserve cut its target interest rate by 0.25% at the September 17 meeting. This has Wall Street wondering what comes next. Is this the start of a series of rate cuts? Or will lingering inflation problems make future cuts difficult? Here are our views on these questions and more. Weakening labor market convinced ... Read more